Musings from Liza Loop

My grandson will inherit the future.

I keep searching for out-of-the-box thinkers who are addressing what I believe is a looming catastrophe around the future of work as we know it. Here’s my response to a recent discussion of the issue by Yi-huah Jiang, the former premier of the Republic of China, Taiwan and currently a research fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford University. Who am I to question someone with such sterling credentials? Well, somebody has to do it. I can’t see sitting around and waiting for Armageddon.

https://www.psmag.com/business-economics/the-future-of-work-what-politicians-should-know

I applaud the courage shown by Dr. YI-HUAH JIANG in addressing the Future of Work. However I’m afraid his approach does not go far enough in challenging underlying cultural assumptions about the role of work and employment in a world that anticipates ubiquitous automation and AI.

“The combination of business commitment and social ideal attracts many young people. Its challenge lies in the ambiguity of its positioning and the lack of necessary game rules.”

This is more than a game. The very fabric of industrialized society is woven from merit derived from work and the specific reciprocity of market economics. At present we have no mechanisms for distribution of the wealth we are capable of producing outside of a monetary system and we are seeing a rapid rise in populations with little access to money. If we continue to focus our thinking on business, jobs and work as we have known them, I fear we are failing to notice that the proverbial train has already left the station.

“Will job opportunities become better or worse with the advance of an innovation-driven economy and freelancing?”

Worse. Freelancers do not have jobs in the sense of employment. They have gigs — short-term and highly competitive, punctuated by increasing periods of searching for new clients during which they have ongoing expenses but no income. Today I spoke with the Executive Director of an organization that deploys resources for disaster recovery. He mentioned that he has a surfeit of volunteers and not enough money. Those highly-skilled volunteers come from the ranks of the underemployed. The money is sitting in the hands of the very wealthy who cannot consume enough to keep our current economic engine running and, correctly, don’t believe philanthropy is an adequate vehicle to solve the world’s distribution problems. We’ve got to think outside the box of paid work.

“Not everyone can adapt to jobs that demand a higher level of technology knowhow.”

You said it. Human beings evolved first as hunter-gatherers and then farmers.

Even craftspeople, artisans and traders can begin their practice around age 12 and become experts by their 20s. Actually, it’s not “technology” (which means “knowhow”) that is the problem because there is knowhow associated with every occupation. It’s the high levels of creative innovation and intellectual problem solving to which “average” minds have difficulty adapting. Most of us are creatures of repetition and habit. With robots and artificial intelligence programs doing the routine work, only the exceptional humans are employable. What does this mean for the masses in a world where self-esteem is intimately connected with having a job?

“The crisis of mid-career unemployment will therefore grow, and can be only temporarily alleviated by a decrease in population due to the global trend of falling birth rates, especially among advanced economies.”

Uh huh.

“To face a changing world of work, all the components of a society need to prepare, be it family, school, corporation, labor union, or social enterprise.”

To face a changing world, perhaps all these components need to find meaning in human activity that goes beyond “work” as we define today. In medieval times large quantities of society’s wealth went into building cathedrals, conspicuous consumption by royals and nobles and waging local wars. We’re already recreating the wars. Is Burning Man the new cathedral?

“The government should take the initiative to envision reasonable working conditions.”

No. Governments need to envision and support new ways of distributing real wealth before the masses, in their frustration over being kept from that wealth, revolt and tear down their governments with no idea what to put in their place.

I’m sitting in my house next to a tinder-dry forest staring in horror at my computer screen, watching the Valley Fire devastate the communities of Cobb and Middletown less than an hour’s drive away. In vain I tweet: What should I be doing to help my neighbors?

Where should I take food, blankets, tents? Does a family need a place to stay? Do you need in-person volunteers? But, with all this wonderful interactive media, all I’m getting back are more sensational pictures narrated by ernest newscasters bent on causing my heart to race while my muscles remain limp.

We’re missing an important opportunity here. We have the technology to communicate about local emergencies within minutes of a fire, explosion or other catastrophic event. All of us can contribute either physical labor, intellectual problem solving, or money — but we shouldn’t descend, en masse, on a chaotic scene and demand to be told how to help. Instead we should have buckets ready to receive donated goods to be deployed to the disaster location. (Yes, there’s always the Red Cross but did you hear about their fiasco over funds given for Haiti relief?) We could have a “job bank” set up, ready to be activated immediately to direct volunteers to places where their skills can be best used. And any organization that wants to funnel money for relief should have its nonprofit status and other bona fides in place and available so people can give money with confidence that it will actually reach the intended beneficiaries. These conduits for good deeds need to be in place before the devastating event, not after when authorities are overwhelmed protecting life and limb.

Maybe the disaster relief infrastructure I’m looking for already exists but it certainly isn’t easy to find on this sunny, Sunday afternoon. And if it does exist, why isn’t the media telling me about it? I don’t need a gazillion photographs of burning buildings, Facebook posts about praying for victims, or frantic tweets asking whether a particular house is still standing. I need a constructive channel for my energy and my sympathy. It’s a resource allocation problem. If Uber and AirBNB can mobilize the “sharing economy” we can use the same technology to help our neighbors in distress.

THE DIGITAL BOUNDARIES OF SHARING

The following article is reblogged from Paula Bialski’s blog

As a sociologist plopped into an interdisciplinary environment run mainly by media philosophers and media historians (Digital Cultures Research Lab where I’ve been working for the past year [2014]), I was surrounded by questions that made me re-think the way in which basic social problems come to exist. The problem I was recently trying to unpack was one of sharing – a sociological (as well as economic and anthropological) problem which can be linked to all sorts of notions of kinship, gift-giving, markets, trust, friendship, and reciprocity, among others. I stumbled across the idea of sharing and reciprocity during my doctoral work, where I spent a few years conducting ethnography with couchsurfers and ride-sharers who told me a bit or two about the values of reciprocity, and what sharing was really all about. But along came these media studies and software studies nerds and told me that media, interfaces, and software, as well as the geeks who make such software, do indeed largely contribute to what is being shared, with whom, and for what purposes. If anybody out there has suggestions on great ways of unpacking the technological infrastructure that influences our social practices – (STS folks, ANT folks, software studies folks?) – let me know.

So, Paula, here are some thoughts from Liza about sharing and computing.

1) Information, specifically digital stuff, is categorically different from the kinds of stuff we used to learn about in physics and philosophy. Matter, or physical stuff, has weight and takes up space. If you move it from one place to another it is gone from the first location.

A piece of bread is a physical object

It takes time to move it over a distance. If I give you a diamond ring I don’t have it any more. To share it with you I must either give up my possession of it or divide it in some way so that it is a fundamentally different object and the original is destroyed. It makes sense to sell such stuff because when I transfer it to you I experience a loss.

Concepts, or abstract stuff, like love, beauty, honor and evil, are, well, abstract, they have no physical existence. They can be shared infinitely. Perhaps they have no meaning or existence if they are not shared by sentient beings. The quantity, the number of experiences of each concept, increases when they are shared. Their value, in the economic sense, is incalculable. What about information, a computer program or a poem or a bank account balance? These are patterns carried on a physical medium (say, a disk drive) but infinitely replicable. A copy is just as good as the original and the cost of making and transmitting the copy is negligible compared to the cost of creating the first one. Once I’ve created a computer program or a poem I lose nothing by sharing it — well, the bank account may be a red herring. More on that later.

My point is that we need to explore the conventions of reciprocity for information to see if we want different rules to apply to it — rules different from those we use for matter and abstract ideas. Our contemporary conventions surrounding ownership, copyrights, trademarks, patents, trade secrets, user licensing and fair use are not working very well in this new information age. They may actually be inhibiting large sections of the world population from benefiting from this kind of “wealth”.

2) You say (above) “media, interfaces, and software, as well as the geeks who make such software, do indeed largely contribute to what is being shared, with whom, and for what purposes.” This is true when you are looking at the mechanics of sharing physical stuff (e.g. ebay that facilitates the exchange goods) or services that are physically limited stuff (a night’s occupancy of a couch or transportation of a person from Berlin to London). A more profound instance of sharing is encountered when the “stuff” is infinitely reproducible information that gains value in proportion to the number of people who use it.

3) The geeks you mention spend their lives creating and sharing information, the nonphysical stuff that they still have even after they give it away or sell it.

Geeks probably sharing information

Even if they aren’t thinking consciously about it, these folks — IT folks — are living in a world where the consequences of sharing and reciprocity are fundamentally different from our familiar market system of exchanging goods and services. Their limitations are not based on physical space, natural resources, time and cost of transportation, or cost of manufacture. Rather, their resources are individual brainpower, shared know-how, access to computing equipment (which is becoming exponentially cheaper and more available) and installed base of users. The only scarce resource is their mental labor which they usually delight in exercising. Two consequences of this situation are the open source software movement and its companion, open educational resources. Our producer-consumer society is struggling to figure out how to integrate these and similar developments without causing major disruption to our existing distribution systems.

Paula, IMHO, if we want to unpack “the technological infrastructure that influences our social practices” we would do well to expand on these three themes and incorporate them into our theoretical frame. I expect that others in your Digital Cultures Research Lab are already discussing these points. Perhaps we could encourage them to share their work with the academically-unwashed, English-speaking public by contributing to this blog and yours.